"In terms of the savings, I don't think it's a zero sum, because it's a multiplier on the behavior. It's not just the income I am not receiving now. It is the income I don't expect to receive in the future as well. Now we are years years into [ZIRP] with a promise of at least three more, so that's seven years, and you are getting a change in behavior on a multiplied basis."
Kenny Bing remarks:
I think that one thing that Ben "Fun Bucks" Bernanke is not factoring into his sophisticated thinking is how ZIRP is going to have blowback where future borrowers are concerned. After he has left and when rates do begin to move back upward and your typical car loan goes for something like a more normal 5, 6 or 7% for sixty months (I can hear the gasps now), how are your typical borrowers going to initially react? They have become accustomed to financing a set of wheels for 5 or 6 years at rates for conventional financing priced at 2 - 4% (we are currently writing five year notes at 1.99%). My guess is that 5, 6, 7% is going to feel like highway robbery to them (even though it is not). How are mortgage borrowers going to react when rates become more normal, market driven, and less manipulated? What will that do to housing prices? The fraud / sham / manipulation can only go on for so long. My first house was financed at 10% for 30 years and that was a DEAL at the time, but the purchase price was about the price you would pay for today's large and well equipped SUV.
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